Analysis

Clorox: Hold Near Fair Value, But Upside Looks Tepid

By stockpickr AI | March 1, 2026 | 10 min read

Investment Summary

Clorox (COO) in the Consumer Staples sector appears moderately valued based on a DCF analysis, trading slightly above the calculated intrinsic value.

Investment Recommendation

Hold

Fair Value: $128.50

Current Price: $131.71

Upside/Downside: -2.44%

The DCF analysis suggests an implied fair value slightly below the current market price of $131.71, resulting in a minor downside. While the defensive nature and dividend make it attractive, the current valuation reflects modest near-term growth expectations.

Key Metrics

  • Market Cap: $23.26B
  • P/E Ratio: 24.11x
  • Forward P/E: 19.44x
  • Revenue Growth (YoY): -1.7%
  • Net Margin: 7.4%
  • ROE: 34.2%
  • Debt/Equity: 2.32
  • Dividend Yield: 3.21%

Strengths

  • Strong Brand Equity: Clorox maintains market-leading positions in key categories, particularly in household cleaning products.
  • Defensive Sector Stability: As a consumer staples firm, COO offers relative stability and reliable dividend payouts, proven during economic downturns.
  • Recent Margin Expansion: Management has been focused on pricing actions and productivity improvements, leading to recent gross margin recovery.
  • Low Volatility (Beta 0.48): The stock historically offers lower volatility compared to the broader market, appealing to conservative investors.

Risk Factors

  • Commodity and Supply Chain Volatility: Significant exposure to fluctuating raw material costs (e.g., resins, packaging) pressures profitability despite mitigation efforts.
  • Lagging Growth in Certain Segments: Performance in segments like Natural Care has sometimes lagged, requiring strategic adjustments.
  • High Leverage: A relatively high Debt-to-Equity ratio (2.32) makes the company more susceptible to rising interest rate environments.